Letters to the editor — May 20, 2020

Predictions fair poorly

How can pundits be so spectacularly wrong in their predictions and yet continue to be published?

Surprisingly enough, they don’t need to be accurate to be published, just sensational. For pundits, this is a good thing.

You see, successful pundits rely upon a public “relief factor” which ensures that the community soon forgets a stunningly inaccurate prediction. For pundits, a good thing.

This “relief factor” is illustrated in, say, weather forecasting whereby a predicted hurricane that ultimately peters out produces sighs of relief and no one remembers that the weather forecast was staggeringly wrong. For pundits, a good thing.

These days pundits are falling all over themselves to predict how many people will die due to Coronavirus and, as usual, are hedging their bets to ensure that they overemphasize its severity. For pundits, a good thing.

Accordingly, they appear to be vying to have the highest possible death count … University of Washington estimated 60,308 deaths, only to quickly revise this estimate to 147,000.Whitehouse coordinators Drs. Birx’s and Fauci estimate between 100,000 and 200,000 deaths. But they are pikers compared to the Imperial College of London that envisions 2.2 million.

Because if massive death does occur, the pundit loudly demands credit for an accurate prediction and if deaths are less than forecast, the public rejoice, and the prediction is soon forgotten. For pundits, a good thing.

Accordingly, the pundits’ secret of success is to never be wrong unless being wrong is a good thing …

Dick Pilling

Port Angeles

Quarantine the peninsula?

Historically Sequim during the spring and early summer has put on festivals and events designed specifically to promote “travel from outside the county.” Now suddenly it is to be feared. Huh?

In the past month, the response to this Wuhan virus has gone from insane to stupid. Perhaps road blocks on US Highway 101 just east of West Sequim Bay Road may be set up to stop entrance of anyone from King County that hasn’t been in quarantine for 14 days.

The response of our governor to the Wuhan virus has imparted an entirely new meaning to “The Sovereign State of Washington.”

Ethan Harris

Sequim

More in Letters to the Editor

Letters to the editor — Sept. 23, 2020

Mayor’s actions, rhetoric cause of concern The Sturgis Motorcycle Rally was held… Continue reading

Letters to the editor — Sept. 2, 2020

Thanks to parents Kudos to the parents of Sequim School District! I… Continue reading

Letters to the editor — Aug. 26, 2020

COVID-19 response partnership is encouraging I am thankful I live in Sequim!… Continue reading

Letters to the editor — Aug. 19, 2020

Mayor’s trip to Sturgis could be health threat At the beginning of… Continue reading

Letters to the editor — Aug. 5, 2020

Biden’s VP pick a gamble When you think about it, presumed democratic… Continue reading

Letters to the editor — July 29, 2020

Online a solid option for Sequim students This has been a difficult… Continue reading

Letters to the Editor — July 22, 2020

Cooper’s intimidation column hits the mark My thanks to Bertha Cooper for… Continue reading

Letters to the editor — July 15, 2020

Thanks to front-line, other health workers A close friend of mine and… Continue reading

Letters to the editor — July 8, 2020

Immunity for youths should be goal How ironic that as we celebrate… Continue reading

Letters to the editor — July 1, 2020

Questions remain with sewer project payment I’m writing in response to the… Continue reading

Letters to the editor — June 17, 2020

Armed groups should carry responsibility I believe it is time to discuss… Continue reading